Ethereum is holding firmly above the $4,400 level after recently reaching $4,792, just shy of its 2021 all-time high. The world’s second-largest cryptocurrency has seen weeks of massive gains, driven by strong institutional interest, shrinking supply on exchanges, and growing demand across decentralized finance. Bulls remain in control as momentum pushes ETH closer to record-breaking territory.
However, risks are also building as the market enters a new phase of volatility. After such a sharp rally, profit-taking and speculative rotations could trigger stronger pullbacks. Key data highlights the intensity of current activity: Ethereum’s on-chain volume has surged to $12.93 billion, signaling heightened transaction flows and renewed investor participation.
Historically, spikes in on-chain volume have coincided with critical turning points, either fueling further breakouts or marking the start of consolidations. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether Ethereum extends its bullish trajectory or enters a cooling-off phase.
Ethereum Heads Toward 2021 Levels Amid Market Uncertainty
With ETH trading above $4,400 after setting a local high at $4,792, market participants are watching closely as the asset approaches its former peak. The question now is whether Ethereum will mirror its explosive rallies of the past or pause for a consolidation before making a sustained breakout.
On-chain data reinforces the bullish narrative. Ethereum’s on-chain volume has surged to nearly $12.9 billion, putting it close to the $16 billion peak recorded in 2021. This growing transactional activity highlights both renewed market participation and strengthening fundamentals. Historically, such spikes in on-chain activity have accompanied major upward phases, reflecting not just speculation but also deeper network utility.
The broader market context adds weight to the discussion. Bitcoin appears to be entering its final bull phase move, typically a period that determines whether capital begins to rotate heavily into altcoins. Many analysts believe this could mark the beginning of altseason, with Ethereum leading the charge.
At the same time, supply dynamics remain highly favorable. Exchange balances are shrinking, while OTC reserves dry up, signaling institutional accumulation. This tightening supply picture could amplify any bullish breakout.
Weekly Chart Analysis: Key Levels To Hold
Ethereum’s weekly chart highlights a decisive bullish breakout, with ETH trading at $4,425 after reaching a peak of $4,792, just below its all-time high from 2021. This rally represents one of the strongest weekly moves in years, fueled by consistent buying momentum and tightening supply conditions.
Price action shows ETH has broken above long-term moving averages, with the 50-week SMA at $2,771, 100-week SMA at $2,761, and the 200-week SMA at $2,442 now far below current levels. This positioning confirms a strong uptrend structure, suggesting ETH has firmly transitioned into bullish territory after a prolonged consolidation phase.
The current resistance remains the psychological $4,800–$5,000 zone, which aligns with the 2021 all-time high. A sustained breakout above this level would open the path toward uncharted territory, with analysts pointing to possible targets between $5,500 and $6,000 if momentum continues.
However, risks remain as ETH approaches these levels. Weekly candles show sharp upward extensions, raising the potential for short-term pullbacks. Still, as long as ETH holds above $4,200–$4,300 support, the structure remains bullish.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
