Amid the geopolitical turmoil, Solana (SOL) has retraced 10% in the past week. Some analysts believe that the altcoin’s correction is about to end, but warned that a dip below a key support level might come first.
Solana Eyes Key Retest Before Breakout
After retesting the $168 resistance last Wednesday, Solana has fallen back to a key level fueled by the recent market pullback. The cryptocurrency has seen a 15% retracement from its monthly highs, trading around the $140 zone for the past three days.
SOL has been hovering between the $145-$180 price range since its May breakout, falling to the range lows during the June market shakeouts. Since then, the altcoin has struggled to reclaim the $160-$170 mid-zone.
Nonetheless, market watcher Lluciano considers that Solana “may dip a bit more, but the ultimate target is seriously huge.” The analyst highlighted SOL’s performance since April, noting that it ended its multi-month downtrend after breaking above its descending resistance at the end of March.
After this price action, SOL retested the $100-$120 demand zone before breaking out to its current range in the following weeks. Now, the altcoin’s chart displays a one-month falling wedge pattern, with the upper boundary sitting around the $155-$160 area.
To the analyst, a breakout from this pattern could send the cryptocurrency toward May’s $187 high resistance before propelling the price to retest the $240 mark.
Similarly, trader Rose noted that SOL has been consolidating above the key $145 resistance and 50-day Moving Average (MA), signaling a potential breakout. “If confirmed, the price could rise toward targets at $165, $183, and $220,” they suggested.
SOL To Underperform In Coming Months?
Market watcher Crypto Bullet suggested that Solana’s correction is coming to an end. The analyst forecasted that SOL could soon lose its current range and retest the April consolidation range, around the $125-$135 area, to complete the correction.
This would be followed by a bounce back into the current range before surging past the $200 barrier toward the $220-$250 targets, for “one more wave up” this cycle.
Meanwhile, Altcoin Sherpa affirmed Solana won’t outperform like it did during the first half of the cycle. According to the analyst, the cryptocurrency won’t outperform Bitcoin (BTC) on any long-term timeframe “other than a few blips here and there.”
He explained that the cycle’s leading altcoin isn’t “dead,” but that he doesn’t “see it having a run like it did in 2021/2024.” Notably, SOL is currently retesting its late November 2023 support levels against BTC, which previously sent it to yearly lows after failing to hold them.
Altcoin Sherpa concluded that Solana will likely continue to climb against its USDT pair but continue to bleed in its SOL/BTC chart.
As of this writing, Solana is trading at $145, a 12.1% decline in the monthly timeframe.
