After losing key structure and breaking below major support, Ethereum is now approaching a critical high-timeframe demand zone. This level has historically acted as a foundation for reversals, making it a pivotal area to watch. The question now is whether the breakdown extends, or if this test marks the beginning of a broader bottoming process.
High-Timeframe Support Lost After Repeated Rejections
In a recent Ethereum analysis, crypto analyst Luca outlined why the breakdown below the high-timeframe support range marked in purple significantly shifted the market structure. After losing that level and facing repeated rejections, the probability tilted toward continued downside. The failure to recover that zone signaled weakening bullish momentum and opened the door for the price to seek liquidity lower.
The most logical downside target sits at the high-timeframe support range marked in green, which aligns with the early-April 2025 bottoming formation. This is a technically significant area because it is where buyers previously stepped in aggressively and where they may be incentivized to do so again.
He emphasized that the risk-reward profile becomes far more favorable if Ethereum trades into that green support region. A move into that area would likely create better positioning opportunities for swing longs, prompting him to gradually scale out of hedge positions and rotate capital back into spot holdings in anticipation of a potential upside reversal.
Until then, Luca remains patient, avoiding new entries or adjustments to his spot exposure unless price tests the high-timeframe green support zone, or Ethereum breaks back above the 1D Bull Market Support Band. That band, currently sitting around $2,000, is serving as resistance when tested.
As long as Ethereum remains below that $2,000 band and hasn’t yet tapped into the stronger high-timeframe green support, Luca believes the path remains to the downside on lower timeframes. In his view, further weakness or consolidation is more likely in the near to mid-term before a sustainable bullish reversal structure can properly form.
Ethereum Capitulation Complete At $1,800
Ethereum has already gone through its capitulation phase, with price flushing into the $1,800 zone in what appeared to be an emotional sell-off. That sharp move likely marked peak fear, forcing weaker hands out of the market and clearing excessive leverage built up during the prior structure.
As Cyril-DeFi noted, price action is stabilizing and moving sideways, and the intensity of selling pressure has noticeably slowed. Volatility is compressing, and the aggressive downside momentum that defined the drop is no longer present.
Although this phase feels dull and uneventful, it’s often how sustainable bases are formed. Holding the $1,800 region is therefore significant; it suggests that panic has subsided and that Ethereum may be transitioning from distribution into early-stage accumulation.
