XRP’s market presence is gaining strength in 2025, and technical analysis is pointing to a significant divergence from Bitcoin and Ethereum. Recent technical analyses and market structure shifts indicate that XRP is moving along its own bullish path, and its dominance level has been climbing in the past few months.
Technical analysis of the XRP/BTC pair and market cap dominance shows a breakout that could set the tone for XRP in the coming weeks and months, even as it is battling an important short-term support level at $3.22.
XRP/BTC Pair Shows Decoupling Momentum
According to a breakdown of the XRP/BTC pair by crypto analyst Dark Defender on the social media platform X, XRP has been mostly outperforming Bitcoin since late 2024 and the start of 2025. This trend is shown in the XRP/BTC 3-month candlestick price chart below, which captures a decisive breakout above a long-standing downtrend resistance trendline in December 2024.
Despite Bitcoin’s multiple all-time highs in 2025, price action on the XRP/BTC pair has maintained strength above this trendline resistance. This trend indicates a prolonged period of relative outperformance, and according to Dark Defender, the decoupling has already started, meaning the altcoin is now following its own unique path.
At the time of writing, the XRP/BTC pair is trading at 0.00002696. If this trajectory holds, the pair could continue to climb toward higher targets, which would bode well for the price of XRP and an altcoin season.
Chart Image From X: Dark Defender
This bullish stance is further supported by popular analyst EGRAG CRYPTO, who noted the growth in the altcoin’s market dominance. According to him, XRP’s market dominance chart is a crucial indicator of its price direction.
His Fibonacci-based analysis identified the 5.92% dominance as the first hurdle that must be breached to open the path toward higher targets. Once cleared, the next resistance is at 8.87%, followed by his optimal dominance target of 11.61%. If XRP reaches this optimal target, then it would certify its performance for the crypto this cycle. Finally, a move to 21.5% dominance would push the XRP price to all-time highs.
Short-Term Pullback Tests Important Support
Although the long-term XRP structure is bullish, the short-term picture shows XRP is currently undergoing a pullback after touching $3.38 very briefly on August 8. Analyst CasiTrades noted that this retracement is now approaching an important support zone between $3.21 and $3.22, which also coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
This zone carries added significance as it aligns with a key backtest area, making it a pivotal point for preserving the bullish structure. The selloff, she noted, may be a calculated liquidity grab to shake out weak holders before the next leg up. Holding above $3.22 could maintain confidence in XRP’s upward trajectory. If XRP does break above $3.22, the next important support level to hold is at $3.17.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
