In a fresh market update shared on X, crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) presented a weekly DOGE/USD chart suggesting that Dogecoin could be nearing what he describes as a pivotal inflection point. He stated, “My Dogecoin Community it is about that time where I must provide you the Alpha you all desire. If we take a look at DOGE on the weekly time frame we can see that we received a weekly demand candle last week at the ‘Last line of bull market support’ that I pointed out a couple of weeks ago.”
Analyst Sees Big Move Coming For Dogecoin
He emphasized the significance of $0.139, calling it vital that Dogecoin maintain this level and explaining that, in his opinion, this zone represents a rare opportunity with “phenomenal” risk-reward potential. He noted, “It will continue to be absolutely vital that Dogecoin hold this level while it resets higher time frame indicators like the 3 Day MACD, Weekly Stoch RSI and 2W Stoch RSI all of which are getting very close to being fully reset.” By referencing these oscillators, Kevin underscored that Dogecoin’s momentum profile seems to be approaching a state in which downward pressure could dissipate and bullish forces could resurface.
He explained that the Weekly Stoch RSI, for example, is already fully reset, and that the 3-Day MACD is “getting closer to fully resetting,” while the Two-Week (2W) Stoch RSI may still need around another month before it is aligned with the lower, reset region. This combination of technical conditions often attracts traders who regard such convergences as signals that a market may be primed for a marked price move.
Kevin framed his outlook by saying, “In my opinion this continues to be a spot where the risk reward ratio on Doge is absolutely phenomenal given that if we lose $0.139 durable on weekly closes you can cut your trades/losses but your upside potential outweighs your downside risk by miles.” In essence, he is placing the onus on Dogecoin’s ability to remain above $0.139 on a weekly closing basis, because in the event of a sustained break below that line, the bullish thesis could be nullified and traders would likely reduce or exit long positions.
Kevin also tied the coin’s fate to the broader crypto landscape, making it clear that a resilient Bitcoin price would be critical if Dogecoin is to maintain its footing near $0.139. He stated, “As long as BTC holds these levels and does not lose 70K then I absolutely love this spot on DOGE,” which reveals his assumption that a weakening Bitcoin would threaten bullish altcoin setups.
Even so, he said, “If I were ever looking to properly allocate into Doge then I would definitely take advantage of this spot from a trade perspective,” reflecting his belief in the coin’s potential to remain stable in this range and potentially rally once those higher time frame indicators fully reset. This does not guarantee an imminent Dogecoin rally, but it underscores why Kevin believes the current market structure could allow for greater upside than downside, and why many traders and on-chain enthusiasts are closely monitoring these specific conditions.
In summarizing his view of what may come next, Kevin explained, “From a holders perspective it is pretty simple. You have to hold $0.139 while these higher time frame indicators reset and get ready for the next big move.” This sentiment hinges on the notion that once these key momentum and trend-following signals swing from reset levels back toward an upswing, a rally could unfold if external factors (particularly Bitcoin’s performance) remain supportive.
He has thus labeled the $0.139 zone as a make-or-break support level—one that, if breached on the weekly chart, could invalidate his bullish stance. If it holds, however, Kevin believes Dogecoin is “ready for the next big move.”
At press time, DOGE traded at $0.19.
