As 2025 begins, the crypto market shows signs of recovering from the late December correction, setting an optimistic tone for the year ahead. Bitcoin, the market leader, has demonstrated remarkable resilience by holding strong support at $92,000 despite recent selling pressure. This stability has renewed investor confidence, with many eyeing a potential continuation of its upward trajectory.
Top analyst Axel Adler recently shared insightful data, emphasizing the importance of global liquidity trends in Bitcoin’s growth. According to Adler, the inflow of global liquidity—albeit with a slight delay—will likely provide a significant boost to BTC in the coming months. This aligns with broader expectations of increased institutional interest and the growing recognition of BTC as a hedge against macroeconomic uncertainties.
With the broader market starting to wake up, Bitcoin appears well-positioned to capitalize on this renewed momentum. Analysts and investors alike are closely monitoring its price action, especially as it remains firmly above the critical $92K support. Should this level hold, BTC could be poised for a fresh rally, potentially reclaiming all-time highs and setting the stage for a robust 2025. For now, all eyes are on the market leader as it navigates this pivotal moment.
Bitcoin Growth Fueled By M2
Bitcoin has historically experienced significant growth every time the global money supply (M2) starts to rise, and this correlation has garnered attention from analysts and investors who anticipate a massive rally for BTC in the near future. Analysts believe that BTC is primed to benefit from the continued expansion of global liquidity.
A compelling chart shared by CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler on X highlights this correlation, illustrating the BTC price alongside the Global Liquidity M2 on a day-over-day basis. The chart reveals a clear connection between the two, with a noticeable 4-6 month lag between increases in M2 and Bitcoin’s price growth. This pattern suggests that as central banks continue to adopt expansive monetary policies, pumping liquidity into the global economy, BTC is likely to see substantial upward movement.
The relationship between M2 and Bitcoin underscores how the cryptocurrency could act as a hedge against inflation and a store of value in an environment of increasing global liquidity. With central banks continuing to pursue accommodative policies, including low interest rates and money supply growth, Bitcoin stands to benefit from this macroeconomic trend.
As M2 grows, Bitcoin’s price historically follows suit, driven by increased liquidity entering the market. Given the current trajectory of central banks pushing expansive monetary policies, this trend points to a favorable outlook for BTC in 2025. Investors and analysts alike are closely watching these developments, with many predicting that BTC could experience another major rally as global liquidity continues to surge.
Price Action: Technical Levels
Bitcoin is currently trading at $96,500 after confirming strong demand at the $92,000 level. This price action comes after several days of selling pressure, signaling that the bulls have regained control, at least for now. The strong rebound from $92,000 has provided confidence in the market, but the critical $100,000 mark remains a key hurdle.
For a rally to materialize, bulls must reclaim this psychological level. Breaking above $100,000 would signal further bullish momentum, potentially driving BTC to new highs. However, there’s still a risk as BTC remains below this key level. If BTC fails to break and hold above $100,000 in the coming weeks, the market could face additional consolidation or even a pullback.
The inability to push past $100,000 could lead to a loss of momentum, potentially triggering a deeper retrace. Traders and investors are closely monitoring Bitcoin’s ability to sustain its current strength. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether BTC can break through this resistance or if it will face further challenges in its price action.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
